Friday, January 13, 2012

Divisional Playoff home field trends


For just the third time in the last 20 years, all four home teams won on Wild Card Weekend, now lets examine the importance of home field in divisional round, as the top two teams in each conference enter the fray. This is the 22nd season that the NFL has had this exact playoff format. Teams that have home field in the divisional round are 62-22, which means that on average home teams go 3-1, but they split last year with the Jets and Packers winning on the road. In the last 6 years, home teams are just 12-12, so the first 15 years of this format the home teams were winning at an 83% clip. Anyways, all 4 home teams have won 6 times, and no more than 2 road teams have won 4 times, all 4 have happened in the last 6 years. 3 years ago was the first time that more than 2 home teams have ever lost during one weekend in this round. Here it is broken down further:

#1 Seed AFC- 12-9
#2 Seed AFC- 15-6
#1 Seed NFC- 18-3
#2 Seed NFC- 17-4

3 of the 9 teams that have lost as the #1 seed in the AFC have been coached by Marty Schottenheimer.
AFC # 1 seeds that played on Saturday went 9-3, they went 4-6 on Sunday.
Home teams are 34-8 (.810) on Saturday, 28-14 on Sunday (.667)
Coincidentally the NFC home teams are 35-7 and the AFC home teams are 28-14
Peyton Manning has played in 6 divisonal playoff games. In those 6 games the home team is 1-5. He is 0-3 at home, and 2-1 on the road.

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