I have given you the percentages for teams after winning games 1 and 2 of a best of seven series. Now I will give you the percentages for teams after winning game 3 of a 1-1 series. As I told you earlier, in the last 22 years, 95 series have been tied 1-1. The team that wins game 3 has gone onto win the series 77.9% (74/95) of the time. Here it is broken down further:
When the home teams wins game 3 they win the series 68.8% (33/48) of the time.
When the road team wins and steals back the home court advantage, they win the series 87.2% (41/47) of the time.